Google will kill a product or service you use and like.
Yeah I think Google podcasts is getting killed in a few months.
And YouTube music for podcasts sucks. And I use it for music.
Open source AI models will overtake for profit ones in complexity, power, and usefulness.
I like this one. I’ve been hoping for some host-your -own AI models that I can dump into a system with a bucket of TPUs and a decent GPU for processing and get my own version of something like chat GPT at home then train it on the entire collective works of documentation and help articles about the software I usually do support for so it can act as a defacto repository of “natural language” chat/search for troubleshooting.
You should look into RAG. The course I’m taking on Scrimba.com has a section on it, but I haven’t gotten to it yet.
Thanks!
GPT-5 releases and it’s a bigger leap forward than most industry experts were predicting.
The iPhone 16 will be the most powerful iPhone ever created
That tech will regress due to the greed of tech corporations.
Tech is regulated by the big corporations that consistently either throttle innovation or degrade what already is established because they all want to figure out how to squeeze as much profit out of everything possible while blocking or preventing anything new that might compete with them.
Any new innovation that will occur will be military and will either have a machine gun attached to it or can deliver a high explosive.
One potential regression that I see is that the current generative models are abandoned, after being ruled as “infringing copyrights” by multiple countries. The tech itself won’t disappear but it’ll be considerably harder to train newer ones.
The most problematic part is however if one of them survives; likely Google. That would lead to a situation as in your second paragraph.
Either Uber or Lyft go bankrupt.
A lot of unicorns that aren’t currently profitable also go bankrupt as their funding dries up and there is no more available loans.
Uber has posted profits for the last two quarters. Lyft hasn’t yet been profitable, but they have been reducing their losses quite a bit.
I don’t think either of them will fail this year. Some AI gold rushing unicorns out there certainly will. It’s hard to know which though; they’re still private companies.
I’m hopeful that government austerity measures ease up before that happens too much. There have already been so many layoffs.
Layoffs may continue.
Profitable tech companies have to maintain their existing businesses, but development of new businesses is likely to stay low and unprofitable businesses are still scrambling to hit profitability before bankruptcy.
Computer components will get a bit more expensive except motherboards for some reason.
SSD prices are going up already
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Outside of unpredictable things like hacks which are bound to happen, always the potential of something with widespread impact, 2024 will be a year of increasing “AI” venture capital investment and some widely used online services are going to pivot or completely rebrand.
New content for streaming is going to fall off a cliff. Except maybe for Apple, no streamer seems willing to put money into new flashy shows the way they used to.
If a new breakout TV show hits this year, it is likely going to be more in the model of IASIP or Shoresy.
Peacock streaming network going to shut down.
X, formerly known as Twitter, declares bankrupcy.
VR tv shows?
I think VR is going the other way.
Zuckerberg killed VR with the metaverse…
he bought the perfect VR headset company and then made it very difficult to homebrew and sideload. Mark killed VR.
He also made the Oculus lineup so cheap by subsidizing the costs with selling your data, that many VR startups couldn’t compete. Now there’s only a handful of groups still making any VR gear. Immediately after that he killed all PC based VR, though you can still do it with an add-on cable or wirelessly (which sucks on most WiFi), as an afterthought.
This just locked everyone into the Oculus ecosystem and Facebook by extension, bricking more than a few headsets in the process. Now you either have to pay thousands to boutique VR outfits, or buy an Oculus and sell your soul to Zuckerberg for a cut rate product.
I hold Mark solely responsible for killing VR as a consumer product.
He made VR less accessible to companies but way more accessible to end users. I don’t think it’s fair to say that VR is dead yet.
In my mind, it’s in its death throes.
Zuckerberg killed competition and innovation in the industry.
I wouldn’t be surprised if VR booms soon in a hyper-competitive environment like phones pre-2016. We already had a boom, but there was a tiny market for decent VR. Now that Meta, Apple, and Samsung are making decent headsets at different price points, it’s only a matter of time before Huawei, Xiaomi, and Oppo start doing crazy stuff that sells well. Hopefully, Valve and HTC become even bigger players as well.
I thought 3d TV/movies were neat but not essential.
AI finally decodes cetacean language.
Air fryer 2